Posts Tagged ‘India’
George Harrison – Words of Wisdom (World of Stone)
Visit Whisper at: www.reverbnation.com This is a video tribute to George Harrison set to his song “World of Stone”. Many inspirational quotes made by George from various interviews are highlighted in the video. Peace to all!
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when will china overtake us (i have some estimates based on stats and doubling times/exponential, wat u think?
Assuming the US grows on average in the next 10 years at 3.7% and China grows at 10%. then China will reach the size of the US economy by 2020.
This year, China will be half the size of the US economy. If you calculate based on both growth rates and it is assumed they remain the same, then China’s doubling time (when GDP will double from current GDP) is 7 years. That means that in 7 years China will be the same size as the economy of the US this year. However, due to our own growth, our doubling time will be 17 something years…But that is kind of irrelevent. If you take the GDP of the US to be 100 (some arbitrary number)…in 7 years it will be 128. This means China/US GDP ratio will be 100/128.
So the US will still be ahead. However, if the growth rate then continues, in 3 years, China overtakes the US as the largest economy in the world.
Assuming that other nations such as malaysia, vietnam and in general india and southeast asia start competing with china’s industrial base. China could decide to sell its dollars and allow the yuan to fluctuate laise-faire. This way, its citizens would have more purchasing power than before, and it will be an incentive to buy foreign goods elsewhere in asia and india. This will mean that the domestic production, if any of the local consumption increases (expected to reach 40%), that such a local consumption will remain, but that the increase in purchasing power will mean increased spending elsewhere in asia and hence standard of living. A yuan appreciation however, would likely be controlled, in order not to contract its production in foreign exports. Foreign exports are likely to decrease by say 30%, but consumption is likely to increase many times fold, and thusly, service based and innovative based companies that could potentially make up for such a contraction.
This is especially the case because if China becomes a consumer and is the same size by 2020, selling its dollars will make interest rates in the states increase exponentially and hence decrease the stock market and commodity markets. This would mean less tax revenue and increased spedning that will further add to a deficit and hence interest rate increase, until the US economy and its bussiness…such as services and innovative sectors will move to China which will have a more favorable credit enviroment…filling the 30% decrease in foreign exports…
So China could produce most products, have a consumer society with appreciation of yuan by buying from other asian nations and gain US innovation and service based companies.
Perhaps this is the strategy economically.
Militarily, I beleive perhaps around the early 2020’s China may decide to invade Taiwan, which given the US’s demise and reluctance to fend off China’s invasion due to debt, especially to China itself, which will announce to the world China as the new emergent super-power. Given the military spending in hardware it will spend between now and 2020, and its good economic status to spend on military equipment…the US may become its main partner and exporter of military industrial products such as tanks, aircraft, etc. The US, given the deficit and dramatic cut-backs in spending, perhaps entailing entitlements…will mean that cuts in defense spending will be a given. Slowly military bases will be cut as US loses its influence and in many cases will need China’s monetary help to keep them running. And hence I see the US selling military equipment to China as a real possibility, although Russia will be a close competitor. Nasa and its commercialization will mean China will be able to purchase these innovative based commercial sectors, and use them to catapult itself as the superpower with space-supermacy…as many defense systems in space from the US are slowly phased out due to cuts in spending.
By 2030, China and an asian nexus will be the main economic and militaristic superpower, while Europe, ridden with a default on debts a decade earlier and an explosion of the euro that led to an appreciation of the dollar and greater debt in the US …dominoe effect of western defaults called the ‘currency crisis’ …will mean that China will have increased responsibility to ensure economic security in the world and pull its western neighbores out of the recession, in some extent or another.
NASA commercialized recently due to budgeting issues, and that means that it can use any coutrny or corproation in order to acheive its goals..In other words, its talent can be availabe for money if certain criteria and goals are acheived…
second northrop grunman and boeing would likely move their manufacturing to China to increase profits as unfavoralbe social policies, perhaps social unrest and higher interest rates in the 20’s will push them over there.
Shibendu Lahiri – How to stop worrying and Start Living
Shibendu Lahiri – How to stop worrying and Start Living. Satsang in St. Petersburg. September 14, 2009. Sri Shibendu Lahiri is Kriya Yoga Teacher in Dynastic Lineage from India. Great grandfather of Guruji is a famous Yoga Teacher of the 19-th century, from Varanasi, Lahiri Mahasaya. Shibenduji travels around the world for the last 20 years and gives Kriya Yoga techniques for free donation, He has 15 thousand disciples in many different countreis – in India, Europe, Asia, America. Complete audio-tape of Satsang (including translation into Russian) – kroogi.com – part 1 (103 min); kroogi.com – part 2 (18 min)
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When will china overtake us (i have some estimates based on stats and doubling times/exponential, wat u think?
Assuming the US grows on average in the next 10 years at 3.7% and China grows at 10%. then China will reach the size of the US economy by 2020.
This year, China will be half the size of the US economy. If you calculate based on both growth rates and it is assumed they remain the same, then China’s doubling time (when GDP will double from current GDP) is 7 years. That means that in 7 years China will be the same size as the economy of the US this year. However, due to our own growth, our doubling time will be 17 something years…But that is kind of irrelevent. If you take the GDP of the US to be 100 (some arbitrary number)…in 7 years it will be 128. This means China/US GDP ratio will be 100/128.
So the US will still be ahead. However, if the growth rate then continues, in 3 years, China overtakes the US as the largest economy in the world.
Assuming that other nations such as malaysia, vietnam and in general india and southeast asia start competing with china’s industrial base. China could decide to sell its dollars and allow the yuan to fluctuate laise-faire. This way, its citizens would have more purchasing power than before, and it will be an incentive to buy foreign goods elsewhere in asia and india. This will mean that the domestic production, if any of the local consumption increases (expected to reach 40%), that such a local consumption will remain, but that the increase in purchasing power will mean increased spending elsewhere in asia and hence standard of living. A yuan appreciation however, would likely be controlled, in order not to contract its production in foreign exports. Foreign exports are likely to decrease by say 30%, but consumption is likely to increase many times fold, and thusly, service based and innovative based companies that could potentially make up for such a contraction.
This is especially the case because if China becomes a consumer and is the same size by 2020, selling its dollars will make interest rates in the states increase exponentially and hence decrease the stock market and commodity markets. This would mean less tax revenue and increased spedning that will further add to a deficit and hence interest rate increase, until the US economy and its bussiness…such as services and innovative sectors will move to China which will have a more favorable credit enviroment…filling the 30% decrease in foreign exports…
So China could produce most products, have a consumer society with appreciation of yuan by buying from other asian nations and gain US innovation and service based companies.
Perhaps this is the strategy economically.
Militarily, I beleive perhaps around the early 2020’s China may decide to invade Taiwan, which given the US’s demise and reluctance to fend off China’s invasion due to debt, especially to China itself, which will announce to the world China as the new emergent super-power. Given the military spending in hardware it will spend between now and 2020, and its good economic status to spend on military equipment…the US may become its main partner and exporter of military industrial products such as tanks, aircraft, etc. The US, given the deficit and dramatic cut-backs in spending, perhaps entailing entitlements…will mean that cuts in defense spending will be a given. Slowly military bases will be cut as US loses its influence and in many cases will need China’s monetary help to keep them running. And hence I see the US selling military equipment to China as a real possibility, although Russia will be a close competitor. Nasa and its commercialization will mean China will be able to purchase these innovative based commercial sectors, and use them to catapult itself as the superpower with space-supermacy…as many defense systems in space from the US are slowly phased out due to cuts in spending.
By 2030, China and an asian nexus will be the main economic and militaristic superpower, while Europe, ridden with a default on debts a decade earlier and an explosion of the euro that led to an appreciation of the dollar and greater debt in the US …dominoe effect of western defaults called the ‘currency crisis’ …will mean that China will have increased responsibility to ensure economic security in the world and pull its western neighbores out of the recession, in some extent or another.
10 hours ago – 4 days left to answer.
Additional Details
NASA commercialized recently due to budgeting issues, and that means that it can use any coutrny or corproation in order to acheive its goals..In other words, its talent can be availabe for money if certain criteria and goals are acheived…
second northrop grunman and boeing would likely move their manufacturing to China to increase profits as unfavoralbe social policies, perhaps social unrest and higher interest rates in the 20’s will push them over there.
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TVI Express Marketing Mentors do they Global Recognition
www.trafficvaultsecrets.comTVI Express is a great home Based Business. TVI Express and its marketing strategies allow you to become the HUNTED instead of the HUNTER. TVI Express is one of the biggest organizations in the Home Based Business Arena. If you want to Succeed in TVI Express then you are going to need to learn how to market and Brand Yourself. TVI Express has dominated the network marketing industry for many years. TVI Express is renowned to have affiliates who promote their products globally. TVI Express is hip to the latest trends of web 2.0 attraction marketing and social media. TVI Express has many training courses in the sites back office to deal with all of the influx of traffic. TVI Express International has many of the worlds top marketers promoting it. TVI Express is ever expanding globally and will be coming to a town near you shortly. TVI Express approaches Online Marketing as the lifeblood of its success. TVI Express holds weekly training webinars and Calls. TVI Express has appeared in the local and International newspapers as the premier way to make money from home. TVI Express has a large presence on the web and is constantly innovating itself to attract new distributors. TVI Express has made me financially free and I also mentor and coach other TVI Express affiliates so they can dominate and get Free Leads and Traffic which chase them. TVI Express Rocks!
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Top Learn Appreciation Marketing News – February 6, 2010
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February 6, 2010
– great note
February 6, 2010
– Valuble clients support is yes a great way
